Famine in Venezuela: Update
Note: this is an update and rewrite of my blog of May 10, 2018)
FOR A VIDEO OF THE TALK I GAVE AT TUFTS UNIVERSITY, MAY 4, 2018,. ON WHICH THIS BLOG IS BASED, SEE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TgQ73lh6Kb4&t=3s
FOR A VIDEO OF THE TALK I GAVE AT TUFTS UNIVERSITY, MAY 4, 2018,. ON WHICH THIS BLOG IS BASED, SEE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TgQ73lh6Kb4&t=3s
Starvation
in Venezuela
By May 2018, approximately 5,000 people per day were
leaving Venezuela in search of food. (“Venezuela’s Crisis Spills Over,” New York Times International Weekly, in
the Hamilton Spectator, May 5, 2018,
p. 1). At this rate, 1.8 million people will have left by the end of 2018,
joining 1.5 million who have already fled. This is over ten per cent of
Venezuela’s population of 32 million.
The Mirriam-Webster dictionary
defines famine as “widespread scarcity of food, caused by several factors including…
government policies. This phenomenon is usually accompanied or
followed by regional malnutrition, starvation, epidemic, and increased mortality.” By this definition, Venezuelans may already
be experiencing famine. At the very least, they are experiencing state-induced
hunger.
Hugo Chávez was elected President of Venezuela in
1999. He instituted several policies that were meant to feed poor Venezuelans,
but actually made the situation worse. From 1999 to 2007 people’s living
conditions improved, but food shortages started when oil prices declined. Chávez
died in 2013. See my blog on Chávez’s rule, http://rhodahassmann.blogspot.ca/2013/03/hugo-chavez-and-right-to-food-in.html .
Chávez was succeeded by Nicolás Maduro, whose
draconian policies have created massive food shortages. By 2017 malnutrition
was confirmed in Venezuela, precipitating the political unrest now roiling the
country. See my blogs on Maduro’s policies: http://rhodahassmann.blogspot.ca/2013/10/venezuela-update-food-situation-worse.html.
http://rhodahassmann.blogspot.ca/2014/03/venezuela-demonstrations-and.html
http://rhodahassmann.blogspot.ca/2017/03/malnutrition-confirmed-in-venezuela.html
According to
Antulio Rosales (“An Ugly New Low for the Venezuelan President,” Globe and Mail, March 12, 2018, p.A11) and
Enrique Krauze (“Hell of a Fiesta,” New
York Review of Books, March 8, 2018, pp. 4-7), by early 2018 more than half
of all Venezuelans had lost between 19 and 24 pounds, and 90 per cent said they
do not have enough money for food. The minimum monthly wage in mid-2017 bought
only 12 per cent of one person’s basic food needs, even less now. Sixty per
cent of the population lives in extreme poverty. Formerly dormant diseases such
as malaria, diphtheria and dengue are reoccurring, while hospitals are extremely
short of personnel, medicines, and the most basic equipment. Some people
receive subsidized food boxes, but the contents are inconsistent and insufficient,
are distributed irregularly, and are more likely to go to supporters of Maduro
than others.
This shortage of food is a completely predictable
consequence of the policies that both the Chávez and Maduro governments have favored
over the last two decades. They destroyed the market in food by imposing
control prices that resulted in underproduction when the official prices did not
meet costs of production. The government expropriated farms, ranches, and even
food distributors such as butchers. There’s very little if anything produced on
these expropriated territories. Food is now heavily controlled by the black
market and by corrupt importers (often members of the military who are also
Maduro’s cronies) who sit on food at the ports to drive up the price.
At the same time political appointees, rather than
competent managers, now run the state oil company. Failure to reinvest has
meant that oil production has fallen drastically, so that Venezuela’s earnings
of foreign exchange have diminished.
To keep all this going, the government has undermined
the rule of law and the judiciary, and arrested independent trade union leaders.
It has manipulated elections and is attempting to replace the legitimate elected
legislature, where there are still some opposition members, with a “Constituent
National Assembly” completely loyal to Maduro. Both Chávez and Maduro have
ruled by decree and used arbitrary arrest, torture and even executions to
maintain themselves in power. Maduro also controls the media: it is illegal now
to post pictures of empty store shelves or images of desperation, supposedly
because it foments hatred.
International
Mechanisms to Protect Venezuelans’ Right to Food
It’s very difficult to know what to do about the
situation in Venezuela. Individual citizens have hardly any recourse to outside
institutions to help them in their search for food and medicine. Citizens of some states can complain about
violations of their right to food to the UN Committee on Economic, Social and
Cultural Rights, but all that committee can do is make recommendations or “name
and shame” rights-violating states. But even this doesn’t apply to Venezuela,
which hasn’t ratified the necessary international treaty to permit its citizens
to make individual complaints.
The US has imposed sanctions on some Venezuelan
individuals, freezing their assets and banning travel to the US. It’s also
prohibited financial dealings by US citizens with these sanctioned Venezuelans.
Maduro replies to these measures by accusing the US of imperialism, a plausible
accusation given its real history of imperialism in Central and South America.
There’s also been some regional pressure on Chávez
and Maduro. The Organization of American States tried to persuade Chávez to
change some of his policies, but he replied by withdrawing from the
Inter-American Commission on Human Rights in 2012. Maduro has been barred from
visiting some other South American countries: Peru withdrew his invitation to the
8th Summit of the Americas for April 2018.
On Feb 8, 2018 the Prosecutor of the International
Criminal Court (ICC), which Venezuela joined in 2002, opened a preliminary
investigation into alleged crimes against humanity in Venezuela, such as arbitrary
detentions and torture. This followed a 2017 determination by the Organization
of American States that there was evidence of such widespread crimes. The ICC
Statute considers extermination via denial of food to be a crime against
humanity, but the preliminary investigation did not mention this.
On May 24, 2018 the UN Security Council voted
unanimously to ban the use of starvation as a weapon of war: see https://www.un.org/press/en/2018/sc13354.doc.htm
.However, Venezuela is not a war-torn state, even though there is much civil
conflict there now as a result of Maduro’s starvation-inducing policies.
There is no international legal mechanism to stop
perfectly predictable state-induced food shortages before they happen. Nor can
any legal mechanism hold entire regimes accountable, even when all or most
senior government officials are complicit in the wrong-doing. All the ICC can
do, if it gets that far, is try individuals, not an entire government.
Except for committing genocide or crimes against
humanity, states (or the governments of those states) still have the sovereign
right to violate their citizens’ human rights. They also have the sovereign
right to choose whatever “development” path a state elite wants, even if that
so-called development is bound to fail and result in de-development, if not
outright starvation, as in Venezuela. These states’ rights are sacrosanct, and
far more important to the international “community’ than the rights of starving
citizens.
The
Future
For the foreseeable future, Venezuelans will try to
flee in their hundreds of thousands in search of food. But they will find it increasingly difficult
to do so, as both Colombia and Brazil have been cracking down on legal
migration. The result is irregular migration controlled by smugglers and armed
groups. Venezuelan women and girls are now trafficked across the border to
satisfy the Colombian demand for sex workers. (https://www.irinnews.org/feature/2018/03/13/colombia-tightens-its-border-more-venezuelan-migrants-brave-clandestine-routes
).
Meantime, like the Emperor Nero fiddling while Rome
burnt, Maduro continues to fiddle with the economy, arbitrarily imposing
currency devaluations and insufficient wage increases, everything but
permitting a free market and property rights that would encourage production
and distribution of food (See “Confusion reigns as Maduro mega-devaluation
roils Venezuela,” The Globe and Mail,
August 20, 2019 p. B3).
On August 4, 2018 there was a drone attack on Maduro
while he was giving a speech at a military parade. The question now is, whether
a civil war in Venezuela will exacerbate famine even further, or whether there
might be a coup by anti-Maduro factions within the military or elsewhere. If
the latter, the new rulers might turn to a somewhat more rational economic
policy, although they will not necessarily restore civil liberties or encourage
political democracy.
(For a more detailed scholarly analysis of the
situation in Venezuela and what might be done about it, see my State Food Crimes, Cambridge University
Press, 2016).